September is here, and we’re heading into the final stretch of Q3 with plenty of momentum! This month, we’re excited to share our new partnership with the Houston Bulls, highlight the growing markets and opportunities available with Atlantic Energy, and bring you the latest updates from our team. As always, thank you for your continued partnership. Let’s finish Q3 strong! |
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ERCOT Weather: Fall 2027 should bring a meaningful reduction in ERCOT cooling demand as temperatures moderate from summer extremes, but the magnitude and timing of the transition remain highly uncertain this far out.
ERCOT Electricity Prices: Power prices should generally soften from summer levels through the fall as cooling load declines, but continued rapid load growth—including data centers and other large loads—should keep the market structurally tighter than historical norms and leave prices vulnerable to volatility during late-summer heat or unexpected generator outages. ERCOT's latest long-term forecast continues to show substantial demand growth, while EIA currently expects Texas electricity demand to grow ~6% in 2027. |
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PJM enters September with a market that remains fundamentally tight, although near-term pricing may ease as summer temperatures moderate. Strong load growth, limited new generation, elevated capacity costs, and transmission constraints continue to support a higher-cost market structure and create the potential for increased volatility. The recent late-summer heat and resulting system stress highlight the sensitivity of PJM prices to weather and generation availability, while relatively stable natural gas fundamentals provide some offsetting downward pressure on energy prices. Looking ahead, we expect September to bring a mix of seasonal demand reduction and continued structural supply-demand pressure, with weather, generator outages, congestion, and natural gas pricing remaining the primary drivers of short-term price movement. |
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Natural Gas Market Updates: U.S. natural gas prices moved higher over the past week, with front-month NYMEX futures rising about 2.8% from August 28 to September 4. Global LNG supply concerns remain a key driver. Ongoing tensions involving the U.S. and Iran, along with disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, have pushed European and Asian natural gas prices higher. European storage is currently around 66% full, well below the five-year seasonal average of 83%, increasing competition for LNG cargoes ahead of winter.
In the U.S., warmer mid-September forecasts could provide additional near-term demand. However, domestic inventories remain about 5% above the five-year average, helping keep prices from moving significantly higher.
Looking ahead: LNG demand, geopolitical developments, weather, and storage levels will be important to watch as the market moves into fall. The biggest question is whether stronger demand can reduce the U.S. storage surplus before winter. |
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HOUSTON BULLS SPONSORSHIP ANNOUNCEMENT
We have some exciting news to share! AE Texas is proud to announce our new multi-year partnership with the Houston Bulls as their Official Preferred Retail Energy Partner!
We’re excited to support the Bulls as they kick off their inaugural season and to bring AE Texas energy to Bulls fans both on and off the ice.
This partnership is just getting started, and we can’t wait to share what’s ahead!
Read the full announcement by clicking the button below and learn more about the Houston Bulls here! |
MORE MARKETS. MORE OPPORTUNITIES. ONE PARTNER.
Atlantic Energy continues to serve customers across key deregulated energy markets. Whether you have an opportunity for electricity, natural gas, residential, or commercial, please keep us in mind.
With coverage across PJM, ERCOT, and ISO-NE, our team is ready to help you find the right solution for your customers.
Have an opportunity? Send it our way! |
ARE YOU GOING TO TEPA?
Are you heading to the TEPA National Conference on November 4th-6th? If so, we’d love to know! Click the button to let our team know where you’ll be so we can keep an eye out and connect while you’re there. |
Texas Deregulation Could Expand to Austin and San Antonio
A proposal from Gov. Greg Abbott would potentially dismantle municipally owned utilities Austin Energy and CPS Energy and allow customers in those territories to choose competing retail electricity providers. Supporters argue competition could lower electricity costs, while city officials say their nonprofit utilities already offer competitive rates and warn that transitioning into Texas’ deregulated market could cost customers more than $1 billion in Austin alone. Texas originally deregulated most of its electricity market in 2002 but allowed municipal utilities and cooperatives to opt out. If the proposal advances, it could represent a significant expansion of Texas retail electric choice. The Texas Tribune |
ERCOT Demand Continues Breaking Records
Utility Dive reported yesterday that ERCOT electricity demand has remained at unprecedented levels. Average hourly load reached a record 74.5 GW during the week ending August 22, 10% above the highest weekly average recorded in summer 2025. Even more notable, each of the six weeks from late July through August 29 exceeded the previous weekly record set in 2023. ERCOT's long-term forecast now has peak load reaching 154 GW by 2035. The sustained demand reinforces the scale of the generation and transmission challenge Texas faces as population, industrial development and data centers continue adding load. Utility Drive |
PJM Plans 6 GW “Backstop” Auction as Data Center Demand Surges
PJM is preparing a special Reliability Backstop Procurement that could seek roughly 6 GW of new capacity outside its normal capacity auction process. The proposal comes after PJM’s latest capacity auction fell short of its targeted reserve margin amid rapidly growing electricity demand, particularly from data centers. The backstop would give new resources—including generation, battery storage and other qualifying projects—a separate path to help fill the reliability gap. The plan still requires FERC approval, but it highlights how quickly PJM is adapting its market structure as new load outpaces available generation. Energy Storage News |
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Edgar Aburto - Commercial Sales Manager
With 10 years of experience in the deregulated energy industry, Edgar has built his career around developing strong broker relationships and driving sales across multiple competitive energy markets. Throughout his career, he has helped grow business and expand sales across ERCOT, MISO, PJM, NYISO, and ISO-NE. Edgar takes pride in building lasting partnerships, understanding the unique needs of his broker partners, and delivering solutions that help them succeed.
Outside of work, Edgar enjoys traveling, attending sporting events, and, most importantly, being a girl dad to his two daughters, ages 8 and almost 10. Whether they’re traveling, cheering from the stands, or simply spending time together, Edgar loves making memories with his girls.
As the energy industry continues to evolve, Edgar is excited to continue strengthening broker partnerships, driving growth across competitive markets, and creating long-term value for the brokers and customers he has the opportunity to work with. |
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Commercial Team
commercial@atlanticenergyco.com |
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Residential Team
avengrouskie@atlanticenergyco.com |
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